See all Pics of meeting on Vagaries' Meet Page
Rajasthan and TN Rainfall for SWM...a Comparison on Rohit's Page
The first Note in a series in 2 Parts on the NEM will be on the Current Weather Page of Vagaries by mid-night (IST) Tuesday
Vagaries© of the weather.blog written by rajesh kapadia.concentrating on meteorology of the Indian sub continent and extreme world weather since 55 years For Any Information taken from here, due credit must be given to Vagaries.
Mumbai Heat Statistics: February 2025: 26th touched 38.7c (+ 5.9c)...Hottest in 5 years. All Time record for February is 39.6c in 1966. Ma...
14 comments:
Thanks Salil for your hard work..
Thanks for Video. Whats the forecast for Ahmadabad fot todays CLT20 match? Any afternoon thunderstorms expected?
Thanks for Video. Whats the forecast for Ahmadabad fot todays CLT20 match? Any afternoon thunderstorms expected?
Superb explanation by Rajesh Sir. And nice video shooting & editing job by Salil..
Very good explanation Rajeshbhai, very well shot and edited by Salil. Thanks
Thanks Rajeshbhai for sharing with us via the video. Sincerely regret not having been there in person!
If these forecasts come true, then onset of NEM will be delayed.
http://icons-ak.wunderground.com/data/images/wp201320.gif
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013093006/gfs_mslp_wind_ind_69.png
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013093006/gfs_mslp_wind_ind_76.png
Dear Rajesh,
Well said. Best explanation to suit to the situation. MTC=Mid tropospheric cyclones is your UAC. But I have my own reservation on creation of vacuum etc over Gujarat region. MTC is common. Please refer July 26,2004 Mumbai rainfall.
Shifting of 200 hPa wind to further North shows strength of SWM
vira: Thanks...yes, thats what i stress on...the 200hpa shifting North strengthens the Monsoon as it did in Gujarat's case.
And please refer to the Mumbai July 26th 2005 explanation given earlier in Mumbai Page of vagaries...tried to explain that too there...
And thanks Vira for your feedback and interest taken..appreciate it :-)
vira: Thanks...yes, thats what i stress on...the 200hpa shifting North strengthens the Monsoon as it did in Gujarat's case.
And please refer to the Mumbai July 26th 2005 explanation given earlier in Mumbai Page of vagaries...tried to explain that too there...
And thanks Vira for your feedback and interest taken..appreciate it :-)
JUST NOW VERY HAVEY RAIN START OEVER SANTACRUZ MUMBAI .....WIND GUESTY WIND......
RAIN LIKE A JULY
rajesh sir,
heavy rain since half hour in mumbai subrub.i think low is near in mumbai.its time for mumbai next two to three days then fizzled out.ur and one more thing next low also tracking west north west direction.ur view on withdrawal of sw monsoon in mumbai.reply as soon as possible
Any climatic changes happening Mumbai 2005 extreme rains and Gujarat recent rains both same area..
Again Rohits analysis between RAJ/TN proves southern India is towards near desertification - interiors of TN/KAR/RAYALSEEMA - all coinciding regions. In fact many places of eastern RAJ have exceeded 1000mm near 2000mm, none of TN regions apart western ghats facing can ever reach that figure. With increasing duration of SWM every passing year, decreasing weak NEM - with hardly any lows will make matter worse for southern India/Sri Lanka.
If we notice quantum of rains over GUJ last week is more than 2 months of NEM rains. On lighter note GUJ steals TN NEM rains!!!!
Superb video and nice explanation by rajesh sir.Nice video shooting & editing job by Salil.Thanks
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